{"id":"W2998427000","doi":"10.4039/tce.2019.71","title":"An assessment of degree-day models to predict the phenology of alfalfa weevil (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) on the Canadian Prairies","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Canadian Entomologist","topic":"Insect and Pesticide Research","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Agriculture Food and Rural Development; Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Weevil; Hypera postica; Curculionidae; Phenology; Instar; PEST analysis; Population; Biology; Degree day; Integrated pest management; Ecology; Agronomy; Geography; Botany; Larva; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002160819,0.0007207037,0.0004057095,0.0004795175,0.0006879035,0.0008335293,0.0007879245,0.0003657697,0.0003717696],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002827161,0.0003920805,0.0006319227,0.0003108013,0.0002442598,0.0004416367,0.0005301792,0.000460133,0.00009082664],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004104989,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00341257,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.6048357,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.5870269,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999524,0.0001760472,0.00002333871,0.0001165314,0.00008248301,0.00007761993],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986528,0.0005941588,0.0001278854,0.00007471813,0.0004165766,0.0001339255],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003389113,0.0001930657,0.3483167,0.00003397964,0.0004470913,0.0000430447,0.0001747645,0.6225797,0.002947691,0.0003783802,0.0005769199,0.02396967],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001559111,0.00009160475,0.06460164,0.000006839879,0.00004055914,0.00001130418,0.00007492351,0.9340172,0.0006368878,0.00009869307,0.000387129,0.00001766768],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9931204,0.0001332954,0.005219406,0.0001226576,0.000008728983,0.00002873326,0.0002273606,0.0001262348,0.001013212],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963189,0.0000365138,0.003086928,0.00001485002,0.000002762326,0.000008752689,0.0002370091,0.000008387593,0.0002858376],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3951643,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7949829,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07963624566278238,"score_gpt":0.3062108239527428,"score_spread":0.2265745782899605,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}