{"id":"W2999925732","doi":"","title":"Elections, Economic Outcomes and Policy in Canada: 1870 - 2015","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Carleton University's Institutional Repository (MacOdrum Library, Carleton University)","topic":"Fiscal Policies and Political Economy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Business cycle; Fiscal policy; Volatility (finance); Monetary economics; Per capita; Unemployment; Monetary policy; Voter turnout; Politics; Unemployment rate; Economic policy; Macroeconomics; Voting; Political science; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001120637,0.0006284948,0.001166055,0.001945185,0.0005010301,0.0001834161,0.001035885,0.0006003123,0.0002216245],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003311989,0.0009048663,0.0003873601,0.0004823761,0.0004869244,0.001265204,0.001526028,0.001073891,0.0001197115],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":true,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.008281901,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.007742699,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.7673479,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1372789,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9969538,0.0001052155,0.0007197355,0.001286857,0.0001201873,0.0008141444],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9979439,0.000167529,0.0005552517,0.0007402538,0.00003871626,0.0005543398],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008448855,0.00005147063,0.2578821,0.0001484117,0.0002399826,0.0004350402,0.00008598839,0.01071483,0.000003115817,0.7176933,0.01260488,0.00005639162],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001634817,0.00004903565,0.1072895,0.0001103982,0.0000625481,0.0000446972,0.000561938,0.001797642,0.00004596146,0.002755983,0.884463,0.001184488],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.472653,0.001098978,0.0001572674,0.005650693,0.003190312,0.0006657479,0.002775125,0.0001406167,0.5136682],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9426053,0.0009461819,0.000122021,0.0009267262,0.0004170411,0.000001403884,0.0002464678,0.00005574715,0.05467916],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8718581,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9993402,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009206075518493131,"score_gpt":0.1750433353950732,"score_spread":0.1658372598765801,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}