{"id":"W3003263608","doi":"10.3982/qe834","title":"Worker overconfidence: Field evidence and implications for employee turnover and firm profits","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Quantitative Economics","topic":"Transport and Economic Policies","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":69,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"Georgia Institute of Technology; Alfred P. Sloan Foundation; University of Minnesota; Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation; John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Overconfidence effect; Productivity; Welfare; Turnover; Labour economics; Economics; Sample (material); Demographic economics; Business; Microeconomics; Psychology; Social psychology; Management","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001053592,0.0001232029,0.0001849975,0.00004705196,0.0001252542,0.0001967858,0.0001029727,0.00004821783,0.00003825714],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001521401,0.0001276695,0.00003972163,0.00005627842,0.00007144798,0.001276737,0.00005308242,0.00006057294,0.00003728568],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001027358,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001803266,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000171164,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003009243,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993257,0.000001932602,0.0002133313,0.0002767303,0.00001362556,0.0001686759],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994638,0.0002593057,0.0001195115,0.00009175158,0.00004105129,0.00002455778],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000100002,0.000008930986,0.630861,0.0001519959,0.00004192578,1.861761e-7,0.0005543356,0.00003989325,0.0001433451,0.3604934,0.005509014,0.002096023],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005700219,0.0000754261,0.9206595,0.00007271043,0.00007085621,0.000001039076,0.0006470003,0.00407377,0.00006583581,0.02753116,0.04584945,0.000383174],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9803953,0.0005607018,0.001135763,0.01643545,0.00009919123,0.0003375676,0.00002346391,0.00004098093,0.0009715757],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9923819,0.0002160834,0.000832224,0.006149139,0.0002866079,0.0000491395,0.000009783845,0.00001689973,0.00005816792],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3329622,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.520621,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09284076177030567,"score_gpt":0.2934653013475806,"score_spread":0.200624539577275,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}