{"id":"W3003263608","doi":"10.3982/qe834","title":"Worker overconfidence: Field evidence and implications for employee turnover and firm profits","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Quantitative Economics","topic":"Transport and Economic Policies","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":69,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"Georgia Institute of Technology; Alfred P. Sloan Foundation; University of Minnesota; Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation; John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Overconfidence effect; Productivity; Welfare; Turnover; Labour economics; Economics; Sample (material); Demographic economics; Business; Microeconomics; Psychology; Social psychology; Management","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006945117,0.0002377083,0.0003835573,0.001291541,0.000401638,0.0008943344,0.0007121891,0.000855057,0.002654502],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02757242,0.0003002766,0.0003098915,0.001335287,0.0009422491,0.0006190573,0.0006023202,0.0007601076,0.0004377818],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000463141,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002572918,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008551863,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007164827,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982744,0.0009034707,0.0001143183,0.0002525868,0.0003016138,0.0001535294],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9034547,0.06203135,0.02303557,0.00645495,0.002858824,0.002164637],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003820223,0.0003078944,0.9901647,0.00001764485,0.00007730612,0.00005980731,0.0004389958,0.0005563127,0.0002065927,0.0001946228,0.0002043937,0.007389628],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002419538,0.0002336779,0.9964499,0.00001619036,0.0000324893,0.00008189797,0.0005345109,0.001538311,0.0002857934,0.0005353442,0.0002570675,0.00001055707],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9987464,0.0001782675,0.0002347357,0.0001070585,0.000002510108,0.000004363239,0.0001297723,0.000003047774,0.0005937516],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994784,0.00008788316,0.00008899535,0.00002991428,0.00001131863,0.000003040582,0.0001132054,0.000001051627,0.0001862327],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.008551863,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03672975,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09284076177030567,"score_gpt":0.2934653013475806,"score_spread":0.200624539577275,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}