{"id":"W3005754951","doi":"10.1037/xge0000740","title":"Temporal dynamics of real-world emotion are more strongly linked to prediction error than outcome.","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Experimental Psychology General","topic":"Mental Health Research Topics","field":"Psychology","cited_by":70,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Outcome (game theory); Psychology; Dynamics (music); Mean squared prediction error; Cognitive psychology; Social psychology; Statistics; Mathematics; Mathematical economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003335025,0.0003063663,0.0003692269,0.0005035722,0.000231899,0.002408064,0.0004216565,0.0006652701,0.006637952],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04033811,0.0002306307,0.0003206426,0.0009434053,0.0006130379,0.001424573,0.0008951728,0.001393778,0.0007361058],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004783545,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003892749,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002039123,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002127435,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983759,0.0005738541,0.0001201523,0.0005019438,0.0003542106,0.00007384061],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9735294,0.01666261,0.006391081,0.002052472,0.0009563594,0.0004079906],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005478694,0.0004833644,0.8704018,0.0004065251,0.0004065445,0.000156974,0.001934405,0.005116654,0.004901737,0.008125897,0.001930372,0.1055879],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000010405,0.0001812472,0.9823866,0.00006721685,0.00005406834,0.0001130356,0.0004055598,0.006586747,0.0005951651,0.0081855,0.001385557,0.00002894296],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9412259,0.001476598,0.03607815,0.001179867,0.0001395171,0.0001128792,0.002414818,0.0001368316,0.0172355],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9932663,0.0005480921,0.003976349,0.0001594789,0.00004251277,0.00006587453,0.001059582,0.00004473766,0.0008370204],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006637952,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02220619,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1641351163281033,"score_gpt":0.4957449868464167,"score_spread":0.3316098705183134,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}