{"id":"W3007149723","doi":"10.1101/2020.02.19.20025387","title":"Effectiveness of control strategies for Coronavirus Disease 2019: a SEIR dynamic modeling study","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":21,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","keywords":"Asymptomatic; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); China; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Basic reproduction number; Demography; Geography; Estimation; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Medicine; Disease; Outbreak; Environmental health; Virology; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Internal medicine; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002465474,0.0005398959,0.001875241,0.00006848368,0.0001124773,0.00003755436,0.0006118016,0.0001961218,0.000009789384],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007822994,0.0004224428,0.0005167649,0.00009592239,0.0001126467,0.00005143469,0.0008328313,0.0005038581,0.000005367182],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001753864,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002898579,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002118051,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00005840855,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9963397,0.001075579,0.0009021862,0.0009523851,0.0003463229,0.0003838314],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9887258,0.009618969,0.0004828388,0.0007261327,0.0002681864,0.0001780339],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01333776,0.005888588,0.337099,0.06636186,0.007571577,0.0002096093,0.003992831,0.5201918,0.002829904,0.04070095,0.0001992747,0.001616851],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001895158,0.0003486971,0.05653245,0.000518906,0.0008574734,1.867869e-7,0.0004313767,0.3331395,0.000006149427,0.6058173,0.00001273219,0.0004399972],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6465297,0.0007885136,0.3476408,0.0002487702,0.0002109043,0.003957766,0.0004496302,0.0001581276,0.00001580279],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9968359,0.00005163526,0.001162066,0.00007114028,0.0000634356,0.001712466,0.00002870056,0.0000643399,0.00001033803],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5651164,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998227,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2688683725743163,"score_gpt":0.4632701800480287,"score_spread":0.1944018074737123,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}