{"id":"W3007149723","doi":"10.1101/2020.02.19.20025387","title":"Effectiveness of control strategies for Coronavirus Disease 2019: a SEIR dynamic modeling study","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":21,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","keywords":"Asymptomatic; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); China; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Basic reproduction number; Demography; Geography; Estimation; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Medicine; Disease; Outbreak; Environmental health; Virology; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Internal medicine; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002038198,0.001162997,0.001104161,0.001260287,0.0005787817,0.001387528,0.0009621081,0.001589755,0.002678763],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003787177,0.0003475505,0.001806918,0.0004220657,0.0004051528,0.001009627,0.0007980916,0.0009654247,0.0002103374],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002552332,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001712976,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05053514,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01453197,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992729,0.00032628,0.00003694768,0.0001205422,0.00006873759,0.0001745817],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9972109,0.001889165,0.0003332177,0.00006139062,0.0003925916,0.000112695],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001373471,0.0002412285,0.007560811,0.00008521903,0.0001420372,0.0001289579,0.00004182861,0.9839758,0.0004045785,0.002265158,0.0006161983,0.004400939],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001326665,0.0001343415,0.001035093,0.000007348363,0.00003834502,0.000007921679,0.00005952092,0.9981521,0.00007366286,0.000345886,0.0001257093,0.000006837947],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9570485,0.001144201,0.02910159,0.001181851,0.0001026446,0.0001921868,0.0006725087,0.0001435402,0.01041289],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9965563,0.0002221967,0.001569242,0.00004452893,0.0000154242,0.00007429439,0.0001646444,0.000005414656,0.001347991],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05053514,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.100482,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2688683725743163,"score_gpt":0.4632701800480287,"score_spread":0.1944018074737123,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}