{"id":"W3007528397","doi":"10.5089/9781513530260.001","title":"Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Working Paper","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; House price; Debt; Household debt; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001439948,0.0003721687,0.0006919641,0.003018352,0.0009172396,0.002971316,0.0004589111,0.0006499407,0.001683924],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00408615,0.0001870217,0.000713511,0.006337293,0.001501605,0.001659086,0.003118288,0.001326769,0.0001602871],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002374719,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001417593,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.3359484,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3481609,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994878,0.0001445651,0.00003256667,0.00009511798,0.00007651593,0.0001634778],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970992,0.0006685143,0.000963196,0.0002421035,0.0005796776,0.0004473924],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001455351,0.00006055814,0.9592355,0.00007791005,0.0004489781,0.0005473487,0.002080608,0.002347408,0.0001942449,0.01164831,0.00382729,0.01938622],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002891054,0.00006990605,0.9704312,0.0003571557,0.000340344,0.0001725097,0.01051936,0.002600215,0.0003192806,0.00368666,0.01141594,0.00005845004],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9655342,0.01584525,0.001069479,0.004032216,0.000106559,0.00002384055,0.001486759,0.00001787145,0.01188379],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.99304,0.004177018,0.0004416904,0.0003644172,0.0000392466,0.00001187587,0.001104639,0.000009111041,0.0008119611],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3359484,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.667986,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03180587762210799,"score_gpt":0.2061349059383149,"score_spread":0.1743290283162069,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}