{"id":"W3007528397","doi":"10.5089/9781513530260.001","title":"Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"IMF Working Paper","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; House price; Debt; Household debt; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003110774,0.0001596416,0.0004166753,0.00007521255,0.0001329699,0.0000856842,0.0001645989,0.00008230985,0.0002195042],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00007421622,0.0001871085,0.00008466153,0.0001438875,0.0001020176,0.0001700538,0.0001329068,0.0001366864,0.0001561002],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005265987,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001451999,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001717676,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001002809,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988288,0.00001086204,0.0004913624,0.0003708588,0.00002821649,0.000269956],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991565,0.00009963841,0.000392393,0.0002315854,0.000009479817,0.0001103536],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009340417,0.00003129359,0.9814387,0.00006065628,0.00007647295,0.000005807747,0.002066079,0.0003227463,0.00007776529,0.0116432,0.001382861,0.002801023],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003240261,0.0001756008,0.119157,0.00009600555,0.00006112582,0.00001490905,0.000137628,0.003688039,0.000570071,0.008301884,0.8634595,0.001097952],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9623265,0.001967389,0.0002324596,0.0007232061,0.0002452146,0.0001274088,0.00005653863,0.0001122037,0.03420911],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9959683,0.001998521,0.0007735074,0.0008841057,0.0001829959,0.000006663684,0.000002806574,0.00006146073,0.0001216704],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8622817,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7630062,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03180587762210799,"score_gpt":0.2061349059383149,"score_spread":0.1743290283162069,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}