{"id":"W3007823588","doi":"10.1007/s00199-023-01513-0","title":"Revealed statistical consumer theory","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economic Theory","topic":"Economic and Environmental Valuation","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"","keywords":"Statistic; Statistical theory; Econometrics; Variance (accounting); Preference; Distribution (mathematics); Mathematics; Economics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.00261791,0.0001766801,0.0003669024,0.0001898107,0.0001254304,0.00004693034,0.0002278078,0.0001062857,0.01615412],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001136387,0.0002185056,0.0001056111,0.00006009725,0.0001925332,0.0002176403,0.00009905428,0.0001315048,0.1037268],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002653979,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002003893,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002329457,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000004572773,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983906,0.00008123801,0.0006404531,0.0005022145,0.00001619233,0.0003693076],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987922,0.000457823,0.0002252098,0.0004100422,0.000002546014,0.0001121775],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002975767,0.00001730131,0.04204795,0.000008024865,0.00006624559,0.000003048073,0.000209705,0.0002173904,0.000009018568,0.9460831,0.008924078,0.002384337],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005679844,0.00002727031,0.158886,0.000004578849,0.000009068519,0.000004446089,0.0002287726,0.001066981,0.00002866642,0.8088703,0.03001418,0.0002917203],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8627145,0.0007903481,0.007343154,0.0003405067,0.001360996,0.0003187607,0.0007871129,0.0002442634,0.1261003],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9824811,0.0003055355,0.0003419054,0.0004291654,0.000168703,0.00005446928,0.0001534948,0.00005141224,0.01601424],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1372129,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9847453,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06764607436158165,"score_gpt":0.2289950817861792,"score_spread":0.1613490074245976,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}