{"id":"W3009815749","doi":"10.1002/fut.22096","title":"The effect of oil price shocks on asset markets: Evidence from oil inventory news","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Futures Markets","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":31,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Crown Investments Corporation (Canada); Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Futures contract; Economics; Oil price; Monetary economics; Equity (law); Depreciation (economics); Bond; Financial economics; Us dollar; Liberian dollar; Exchange rate; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003546578,0.0002517913,0.0007387048,0.0001201526,0.000150327,0.0001166717,0.0008083694,0.0001566424,0.000486094],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003757193,0.0001839902,0.0004422197,0.0002450782,0.00007629865,0.0002780828,0.0001241958,0.0006274845,0.00001379461],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001358218,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006138359,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00007355736,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003802549,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975149,0.0003562635,0.001307059,0.0003217701,0.000212279,0.0002877258],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.995326,0.002108456,0.001792253,0.000446453,0.00009175934,0.0002350917],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01016577,0.0001289153,0.831364,0.0004755587,0.0006501139,0.00005643228,0.0006844273,0.00004750712,0.0001808839,0.0005922331,0.06556758,0.09008661],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00319494,0.001930066,0.7340232,0.0008688281,0.0001172381,0.00002090476,0.0001929737,0.03667843,0.0002466099,0.00317615,0.2188398,0.0007108969],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9638535,0.01075605,0.00009999461,0.004057231,0.001394719,0.00006686443,0.0001000023,0.000009945511,0.01966172],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9916508,0.006222769,0.0001727778,0.0005593835,0.0008072837,0.00000479867,0.00000368239,0.00002796021,0.0005505136],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1532722,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7502904,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02119993760033342,"score_gpt":0.2352692891328474,"score_spread":0.214069351532514,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}