{"id":"W3010387982","doi":"10.1017/9781108598293.004","title":"Real Economic Activity","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"Cambridge University Press eBooks","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Centre for International Governance Innovation","funders":"","keywords":"Aggregate (composite); Econometrics; Economics; Term (time); Macroeconomics; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004188412,0.0006546882,0.0003935694,0.001369708,0.000387621,0.00335939,0.0003969196,0.000689671,0.06268286],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001311213,0.0002037321,0.0002943242,0.0026809,0.0006629852,0.002953286,0.001026192,0.001188968,0.03326326],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001223249,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007641434,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001213839,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001598958,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994528,0.0000784801,0.00002929244,0.0001088599,0.0002971824,0.00003342305],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997367,0.00008718261,0.00002884413,0.00004958106,0.00007820492,0.00001947765],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000191533,0.00002590223,0.0004820048,0.0005566454,0.00001547007,0.00004498907,0.0004879908,0.0008376598,0.0007708286,0.4658296,0.225556,0.3053739],"study_design_scores_gemma":[8.877678e-7,0.000005206339,0.0005526887,0.0002259861,0.00000206474,0.00006836894,0.00004797784,0.00005788993,0.0001146437,0.01594388,0.9829762,0.000004143771],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.002093576,0.05422673,0.006600551,0.003649569,0.001850548,0.00003683463,0.002110912,0.0002601172,0.9291711],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.04869592,0.1320863,0.007757536,0.001913132,0.002258913,0.000135624,0.004638797,0.0003790759,0.8021348],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.06268286,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2096951,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05891140440840878,"score_gpt":0.191800410013526,"score_spread":0.1328890056051172,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}