{"id":"W3011542127","doi":"10.1126/sciadv.aay6546","title":"South Asian summer monsoon projections constrained by the interdecadal Pacific oscillation","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Science Advances","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":125,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Natural Science Foundation of China; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Climatology; Monsoon; East Asian Monsoon; Pacific decadal oscillation; Oscillation (cell signaling); Environmental science; Oceanography; El Niño Southern Oscillation; Geography; Geology; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005899612,0.0004252319,0.000313536,0.0001547687,0.0003087802,0.0006249713,0.0003978439,0.0002844843,0.001120306],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001382019,0.0002014797,0.0005079936,0.0004453869,0.0001676155,0.0007171493,0.0005583568,0.000550946,0.0002177389],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004551558,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001453986,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05835463,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05363053,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998538,0.00004622304,0.000009567945,0.00004018391,0.00002156859,0.00002858259],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996531,0.00007333088,0.00005380415,0.00006572134,0.00009453887,0.00005955968],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002100735,0.00005147963,0.1185194,0.00005951433,0.0003625008,0.0001032059,0.0001080642,0.8573418,0.004955507,0.002755007,0.002931891,0.01260159],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008031578,0.00003452544,0.1090528,0.00002755813,0.0001181795,0.00002513075,0.0001658342,0.8821563,0.001994393,0.003472964,0.002826144,0.00004600616],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9839329,0.0001842927,0.007418424,0.0004399362,0.00004927897,0.00001164955,0.002665539,0.0001651446,0.005132865],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9956849,0.00012903,0.001444727,0.00003579754,0.00001719783,0.00001255055,0.002391244,0.00002693842,0.0002576604],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05835463,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1160299,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0262023268334692,"score_gpt":0.2698565617098302,"score_spread":0.243654234876361,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}