{"id":"W3015243044","doi":"10.3386/w16784","title":"Speculators and Middlemen: The Strategy and Performance of Investors in the Housing Market","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":39,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Speculation; Business; Monetary economics; Economics; Financial economics; Financial system; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01290138,0.0002011945,0.0005892566,0.0007807805,0.0001420131,0.00008890591,0.0005060945,0.0002578772,0.0002872966],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000360949,0.0001685336,0.0000889128,0.0001843743,0.0006552522,0.0002130882,0.0001822525,0.0006041478,0.00001484064],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004405119,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000639948,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002710697,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006223311,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977807,0.0001113836,0.001132564,0.0004528574,0.000182165,0.0003403737],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980804,0.0006402109,0.0006897521,0.0003611918,0.0001756545,0.00005282051],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001581214,0.0001058802,0.349713,0.0007279997,0.0002221555,0.000002538643,0.001192998,0.0001738454,0.000002399823,0.6286594,0.01320747,0.005834159],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001245119,0.000514209,0.2826764,0.000333424,0.00002803106,0.00006229171,0.001065332,0.009133813,0.00003655532,0.6322454,0.07183695,0.0008225082],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4063241,0.001461806,3.614593e-7,0.0001568943,0.00015644,0.0003659626,0.00005281997,0.00000234964,0.5914792],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9860216,0.01252921,0.00005459911,0.00002260481,0.0002129929,0.00004077028,0.00002618702,0.00003208588,0.001059994],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.5904192,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6872602,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4250320783113224,"score_gpt":0.4146390544601406,"score_spread":0.01039302385118179,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}