{"id":"W3018553742","doi":"10.1158/1055-9965.epi-20-0098","title":"Cancer Incidence Projections in Northern Ireland to 2040","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Research Portal (Queen's University Belfast)","topic":"Global Cancer Incidence and Screening","field":"Medicine","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Queen's University; Public Health Agency; Queen's University Belfast","keywords":"Medicine; Cancer; Incidence (geometry); Cancer registry; Population; Demography; Kidney cancer; Pancreatic cancer; Cervical cancer; Skin cancer; Cohort; Internal medicine; Environmental health","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003724701,0.0001434927,0.0002696608,0.000380263,0.0002512627,0.00002814754,0.0002960534,0.0001082268,0.0004407534],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003299141,0.0001498888,0.00008243154,0.002108022,0.0001342973,0.0002914793,0.0002944428,0.0007797085,0.0001765523],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004857267,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001038088,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02852906,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01306735,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976404,0.0001203732,0.0001796629,0.000497276,0.0009382443,0.0006240434],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985038,0.00006596867,0.00004078441,0.0002418062,0.0004668315,0.0006807806],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009375361,0.00009071415,0.9731169,0.00007901122,0.00005531475,0.003764338,0.001665851,0.000375065,0.0005656616,0.0005207041,0.01701722,0.001811642],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002988531,0.001955161,0.8310677,0.0008528577,0.00007769969,0.00005091431,0.01746458,0.0004103932,0.0008895534,0.00006368139,0.1436005,0.0005784153],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9528701,0.00004251956,0.0001153936,0.02820707,0.00004418765,0.000777609,0.00003614411,0.00007668923,0.01783033],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9952418,0.0001642124,0.0002290015,0.0006352594,0.0001638452,0.00000773555,0.0000142748,0.00001596617,0.003527866],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1420493,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.97794,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07692904174833198,"score_gpt":0.3606317540334587,"score_spread":0.2837027122851267,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}