{"id":"W3020874685","doi":"10.1093/restud/rdx008","title":"Reconciling Hayek’s and Keynes’ Views of Recessions","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"The Review of Economic Studies","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Carleton University; University of British Columbia","funders":"Agence Nationale de la Recherche; European Commission","keywords":"Recession; Economics; Monetary economics; Aggregate demand; Keynesian economics; Business cycle; Stimulus (psychology); Capital (architecture); Investment (military); Macroeconomics; Monetary policy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003848056,0.0003631205,0.00277582,0.0001251821,0.0002169697,0.00002809156,0.0009274838,0.0001560118,0.0002908797],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0008812582,0.0002984928,0.0004767738,0.0000261447,0.0006297916,0.0001180718,0.001229649,0.0003615357,0.0001802349],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001210785,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007724911,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002435793,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00008887052,"domain_scores_codex":[0.996906,0.00009501905,0.00218332,0.0005598756,0.00001242776,0.0002433808],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9933295,0.0005368398,0.00445575,0.001577481,0.00004358136,0.00005690743],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004103157,0.00006587581,0.00821054,0.05770534,0.002994661,0.000001152039,0.004430898,0.00009001997,0.000003764452,0.8709466,0.02357556,0.03193455],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004472024,0.00006633729,0.001446656,0.0270397,0.0002775385,0.00001063238,0.00036473,0.0001007322,0.00009628561,0.7532021,0.2162093,0.0007388308],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.07162463,0.8767876,0.000007265781,0.003242069,0.001522553,0.0006840782,0.0006137207,0.00001266398,0.04550543],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.09975325,0.8976671,0.000199531,0.0003872894,0.0002920469,0.0001001609,0.00001101013,0.00003119286,0.001558425],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1926337,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999467,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2236618411056707,"score_gpt":0.381185032529591,"score_spread":0.1575231914239203,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}