{"id":"W3021065740","doi":"10.3386/w13532","title":"Productivity and U.S. Macroeconomic Performance: Interpreting the Past and Predicting the Future with a Two-Sector Real Business Cycle Model","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Economic Growth and Productivity","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"National Science Foundation","keywords":"Business cycle; Productivity; Economics; Econometrics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001127243,0.000626848,0.0005031828,0.001145429,0.0003097562,0.002614712,0.0007382284,0.00154056,0.002490913],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005669639,0.0003876453,0.0005481226,0.00186757,0.0007243538,0.001611498,0.0006652244,0.001300954,0.0006213789],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001549586,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006956102,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03618057,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01565109,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998174,0.00007464186,0.000009101361,0.00004924829,0.00001766995,0.00003196693],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989036,0.0005855398,0.0002255422,0.00009485555,0.0001000933,0.00009026061],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001679588,0.00007049982,0.03089904,0.00005140577,0.00009651893,0.0001749216,0.0001987478,0.8798448,0.0001838022,0.06874344,0.006057941,0.01351084],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004780407,0.00004703817,0.007652843,0.00002859072,0.00003720362,0.00004216683,0.00009830278,0.9376076,0.00008700917,0.05087573,0.003445711,0.00003010824],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8879214,0.003350152,0.06204787,0.01323397,0.0003413394,0.00005175051,0.008127267,0.0006777201,0.02424856],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9900175,0.001448153,0.003331659,0.0002089249,0.0001056159,0.00003228936,0.001641772,0.00003636898,0.003177773],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03618057,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07193995,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1101373444796867,"score_gpt":0.3660868715350887,"score_spread":0.255949527055402,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}