{"id":"W3025542601","doi":"10.31219/osf.io/zhb7j","title":"Knowledge and Luck","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada; Ontario Ministry of Economic Development and Innovation; Ministero dello Sviluppo Economico; Wake Forest University; John Templeton Foundation","keywords":"Luck; Attribution; Psychology; Relation (database); Epistemology; Social psychology; Cognitive psychology; Computer science; Philosophy; Data mining","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008803783,0.0004319153,0.0004800677,0.003284264,0.002326936,0.006655867,0.0007812682,0.001516457,0.008123775],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0387896,0.0002866564,0.0004883999,0.002116733,0.02481102,0.007689699,0.00633782,0.002019783,0.0007220715],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003386212,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002183206,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003023037,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002807077,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9910382,0.004507071,0.0004512066,0.0008481896,0.001982464,0.001172938],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9642239,0.01824567,0.006717745,0.004651822,0.003097048,0.003063817],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001889687,0.0001905348,0.102638,0.0004337537,0.0001959567,0.0003547789,0.02021747,0.002706017,0.0004941539,0.791998,0.002605352,0.07797697],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003648035,0.0001836909,0.1101271,0.0005806955,0.00006780864,0.0003565084,0.01372708,0.001625198,0.000806054,0.8343217,0.03804517,0.0001224715],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5515464,0.003843493,0.02523852,0.01413216,0.000201242,0.0001205175,0.0003542814,0.0001016742,0.4044617],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9962808,0.0003195211,0.0008835755,0.0002644362,0.00002441677,0.00002153232,0.00003491516,0.0000156038,0.002155049],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.008803783,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04655939,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1205461695946222,"score_gpt":0.2819917698219886,"score_spread":0.1614456002273664,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}