{"id":"W3026728563","doi":"10.3386/w26000","title":"Implications of Increasing College Attainment for Aging in General Equilibrium","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Global Health Care Issues","field":"Health Professions","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"National Institutes of Health; McMaster University","keywords":"Economics; Earnings; Productivity; General equilibrium theory; Overlapping generations model; Tax rate; Labour economics; Fertility; Educational attainment; Dependency ratio; Total fertility rate; Demographic economics; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Demography; Population; Economic growth","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007338498,0.0005692097,0.0008553316,0.0004962185,0.0007495722,0.001298305,0.0006441201,0.001280572,0.009750265],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003461273,0.000289203,0.0008248024,0.0004230469,0.000856946,0.001510412,0.0009246459,0.0009968565,0.0006161747],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001529798,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001464642,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03190174,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01977289,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997364,0.00008106176,0.000007246928,0.00004689996,0.00002444509,0.0001039844],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992172,0.0003267943,0.0002018955,0.00004343753,0.00007726654,0.0001333715],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001820558,0.0002299465,0.01521497,0.0001658616,0.0001244002,0.001082143,0.0005318668,0.4378349,0.001835001,0.512886,0.01096755,0.01894527],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002163723,0.0002044336,0.007675132,0.00005399087,0.00008338426,0.0002945216,0.0004533928,0.5553107,0.0002612595,0.4263999,0.008996003,0.00005090386],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7290545,0.002065156,0.165626,0.01843078,0.0003057233,0.0001791546,0.001973133,0.0002691439,0.08209646],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9738115,0.001213739,0.004151908,0.0008957454,0.0001157959,0.00007592792,0.0002291043,0.00002465705,0.01948167],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03190174,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0634321,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4625051217315817,"score_gpt":0.6408277005985031,"score_spread":0.1783225788669214,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}