{"id":"W3026728563","doi":"10.3386/w26000","title":"Implications of Increasing College Attainment for Aging in General Equilibrium","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Global Health Care Issues","field":"Health Professions","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"National Institutes of Health; McMaster University","keywords":"Economics; Earnings; Productivity; General equilibrium theory; Overlapping generations model; Tax rate; Labour economics; Fertility; Educational attainment; Dependency ratio; Total fertility rate; Demographic economics; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Demography; Population; Economic growth","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.009582725,0.0001877311,0.0006937442,0.0009521836,0.0001660182,0.000008510075,0.0006808846,0.000537142,0.0002054644],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001449143,0.0002136263,0.0001468434,0.0001978955,0.0001478916,0.00009317063,0.001109775,0.00117386,0.0001015171],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":true,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004923875,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006639313,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006332816,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000806643,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9954402,0.001020434,0.001606318,0.0005932044,0.0005929035,0.0007469388],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.991007,0.005759161,0.0006713014,0.0005484252,0.001881978,0.0001321421],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000420388,0.0001601171,0.08247346,0.004485971,0.00009492187,4.684379e-7,0.0008203326,0.01428994,0.001069903,0.8504072,0.04560948,0.0001678111],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002455846,0.0001683346,0.1142475,0.00202382,0.00001591389,0.000001606888,0.001300564,0.01493133,0.0003382452,0.8579721,0.00619095,0.000353818],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8649125,0.0007178858,0.00003720847,0.009774962,0.0009740726,0.007137376,0.002487835,0.00002236851,0.1139358],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.993505,0.00009909642,0.002755374,0.0001147701,0.0005480725,0.001086743,0.0006794237,0.00004075211,0.001170788],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1285924,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9989921,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4625051217315817,"score_gpt":0.6408277005985031,"score_spread":0.1783225788669214,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}