{"id":"W3032218702","doi":"","title":"TFP, News, and","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Surprise; Business cycle; Shock (circulatory); Total factor productivity; Economics; Variance (accounting); Consumer confidence index; Econometrics; Monetary economics; Consumption (sociology); Macroeconomics; Productivity; Accounting","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008555264,0.0005169506,0.0003692227,0.001496487,0.0003001132,0.001644077,0.0004550414,0.0008576085,0.004877232],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006024858,0.0002923757,0.0004555354,0.001933566,0.000489077,0.001569602,0.0004994039,0.0006708896,0.001078499],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001154078,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008685453,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01397553,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.009918932,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995671,0.00005851946,0.00002787597,0.0001440346,0.0001359792,0.00006646972],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998773,0.0003964368,0.0003878206,0.0001404762,0.0002387529,0.00006357941],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005132121,0.0001625746,0.1739876,0.0003337169,0.0003260231,0.0007109857,0.0005034211,0.2224174,0.007604396,0.2580797,0.01655605,0.3188049],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005815782,0.0001812716,0.1488827,0.00009633873,0.0001355712,0.0004164716,0.0002321612,0.6385506,0.005722442,0.1650063,0.04058897,0.0001289986],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.3656359,0.001424671,0.5794522,0.003046644,0.0005018867,0.0001924557,0.008344302,0.0009968566,0.04040506],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9583443,0.0006472331,0.02416638,0.0001861686,0.0002613074,0.00008264137,0.003891188,0.00007229885,0.01234855],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9951228,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02778834,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06016901940190181,"score_gpt":0.2220252463653482,"score_spread":0.1618562269634464,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}