{"id":"W3032933118","doi":"10.1089/hs.2019.0115","title":"Who Should We Fear More: Biohackers, Disgruntled Postdocs, or Bad Governments? A Simple Risk Chain Model of Biorisk","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Health Security","topic":"Bacillus and Francisella bacterial research","field":"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Stan Cassidy Foundation","funders":"","keywords":"Biosecurity; Event (particle physics); Simple (philosophy); Risk analysis (engineering); Power (physics); Computer security; Business; Computer science; Ecology; Biology; Epistemology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002520611,0.0009032919,0.0006429728,0.0009393628,0.001257632,0.003625116,0.001721347,0.003549573,0.0124727],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008477207,0.0004663779,0.0006730478,0.0006739149,0.005125341,0.006873311,0.001862002,0.002529898,0.001502005],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002070676,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001638095,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007713788,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.006272054,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987949,0.0005521771,0.00003848648,0.0002422272,0.0001664192,0.0002056946],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.996416,0.001878634,0.0007511567,0.0002179517,0.0002936941,0.0004424502],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001853988,0.0001410945,0.006986685,0.0001759578,0.00005534512,0.0006159542,0.001936326,0.07674565,0.001137943,0.8885392,0.006123373,0.01735711],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007716002,0.0001916594,0.002327194,0.0001309373,0.00006331931,0.0004144778,0.001685812,0.1787403,0.0004558545,0.8027461,0.01308662,0.00008058401],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3291563,0.002783603,0.4022377,0.07212042,0.0005881358,0.0004982364,0.0008648689,0.0003161751,0.1914345],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9467163,0.001592611,0.013075,0.001802446,0.0001607251,0.0001804787,0.00009556202,0.00004536662,0.03633145],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.0124727,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04172528,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04333707994359436,"score_gpt":0.3279253336699437,"score_spread":0.2845882537263493,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}