{"id":"W3032933118","doi":"10.1089/hs.2019.0115","title":"Who Should We Fear More: Biohackers, Disgruntled Postdocs, or Bad Governments? A Simple Risk Chain Model of Biorisk","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Health Security","topic":"Bacillus and Francisella bacterial research","field":"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Stan Cassidy Foundation","funders":"","keywords":"Biosecurity; Event (particle physics); Simple (philosophy); Risk analysis (engineering); Power (physics); Computer security; Business; Computer science; Ecology; Biology; Epistemology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004555425,0.0002350245,0.000421952,0.00002612029,0.0001681407,0.00002245745,0.0003006535,0.0002220766,0.00008982386],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002425338,0.0001952929,0.0001361217,0.000202173,0.0001357588,0.000007270987,0.0002786574,0.0002748956,0.00001162698],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005629586,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004125979,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005078889,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001861179,"domain_scores_codex":[0.997861,0.0001712666,0.0004475873,0.0005450451,0.0004124056,0.0005626887],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987077,0.00002328676,0.0002383537,0.0004382484,0.00009849206,0.0004939396],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01704832,0.001777772,0.02967326,0.004935693,0.0006780867,0.00003280544,0.01237108,0.0004670334,0.7252606,0.001758657,0.1689534,0.03704334],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0147676,0.01249071,0.01041999,0.000282246,0.0002217652,0.00001537363,0.00298378,0.1816251,0.2639357,0.002352607,0.5081191,0.002786048],"study_design_candidate":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9831013,0.002197558,0.001969578,0.008216362,0.0001192529,0.0008276491,0.003292128,0.00002788045,0.000248312],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9858856,0.01115564,0.0003474593,0.002012997,0.000277251,0.00001792371,0.000180629,0.00003697771,0.00008555243],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4613248,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7963812,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04333707994359436,"score_gpt":0.3279253336699437,"score_spread":0.2845882537263493,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}