{"id":"W3035280825","doi":"10.1093/condor/duaa026","title":"Annual adult survival drives trends in Arctic-breeding shorebirds but knowledge gaps in other vital rates remain","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ornithological Applications","topic":"Avian ecology and behavior","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":35,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"York University; Université de Moncton; Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry; Trent University; Simon Fraser University; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Université du Québec à Rimouski","funders":"National Fish and Wildlife Foundation","keywords":"Vital rates; Flyway; Subspecies; Arctic; Population; Population model; Geography; Overwintering; Population growth; Ecology; Population size; Annual cycle; Biology; Fishery; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008550175,0.0002913156,0.0002558903,0.0003832905,0.0003480947,0.0008729954,0.0003390273,0.0002271965,0.001663767],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001513902,0.000190659,0.0005482918,0.0003338496,0.0002365245,0.0005821488,0.0003580693,0.0003018415,0.0002973078],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006770726,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005045809,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03235067,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05585286,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998417,0.00004652285,0.000008791613,0.00006150934,0.00001393676,0.0000274394],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992666,0.0002154976,0.0002218297,0.00005770628,0.000162076,0.00007629456],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006107859,0.00003460831,0.9522304,0.00009404223,0.0001736968,0.00005738262,0.0002271471,0.02294306,0.005225786,0.0007367312,0.0007148947,0.01750121],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000005551395,0.00006200999,0.8945583,0.00005719479,0.0001356706,0.0001093053,0.0005158845,0.1001743,0.0008342541,0.001514956,0.002010127,0.00002237498],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9923916,0.0003867643,0.005219197,0.0001586415,0.00001987745,0.000004915907,0.0003753511,0.00007173338,0.001371901],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9974102,0.000210718,0.001676568,0.00003209677,0.00001020414,0.000004072595,0.0003338903,0.0000153734,0.000306807],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03235067,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06432474,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02605207593797519,"score_gpt":0.2900023972500773,"score_spread":0.2639503213121021,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}