{"id":"W3035770226","doi":"","title":"Did Trade Finance Contribute to the Global Trade Collapse","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Liberty Street Economics","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Financial crisis; Trade finance; Economics; Trade war; Fell; World trade; International economics; International trade; Geography; Keynesian economics; Macroeconomics; China","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001832317,0.0002895021,0.0003008365,0.002060381,0.002061248,0.007377497,0.0003174216,0.002189882,0.01623952],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008124847,0.0002035011,0.0003091033,0.002669613,0.003545311,0.007977233,0.002895785,0.003234857,0.001223086],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004220461,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002528179,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01121114,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007501484,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993423,0.0001351326,0.00002233115,0.00005821399,0.0001171664,0.0003249041],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978577,0.0004121381,0.0006890328,0.0001280069,0.0004011826,0.0005118843],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004345045,0.0001485012,0.09492812,0.0003263806,0.000104359,0.001358112,0.005169203,0.0014034,0.0003107124,0.6612505,0.1234147,0.1111515],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007029716,0.0001108234,0.1569354,0.001823833,0.00007403435,0.0007411677,0.01654764,0.001700304,0.00077934,0.2437472,0.5773644,0.0001056058],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.399497,0.01545035,0.00121965,0.2674471,0.002681579,0.0000412849,0.001969197,0.0001063998,0.3115875],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9764501,0.005416916,0.0001451705,0.00776983,0.001335472,0.00001078758,0.0003413452,0.00005801662,0.008472274],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01623952,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05432659,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04200113786029596,"score_gpt":0.2007541413111038,"score_spread":0.1587530034508078,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}