{"id":"W3035925176","doi":"10.1093/oso/9780190877439.003.0036","title":"Debt Trends and Future Outlook","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"","topic":"State Capitalism and Financial Governance","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Debt; External debt; Government debt; Quarter (Canadian coin); Internal debt; Financial system; Monetary economics; Debt-to-GDP ratio; Debt levels and flows; Economics; Business; Interest rate; International economics; Economic policy; Finance; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.00004929046,0.0003130924,0.0003247668,0.0001736348,0.00005895313,0.000176344,0.0001612553,0.0002640697,0.003300125],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000003841773,0.0002664914,0.0001054648,0.0000390986,0.00004413011,0.0004363806,0.0001550181,0.0001808813,0.001487881],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001364653,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001479495,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00009184479,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00008511069,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990527,4.419659e-7,0.0001904644,0.0003672905,0.0001976683,0.0001914227],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994189,0.000008335501,0.0002325328,0.0002641649,0.00006659142,0.000009482527],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000009702026,0.000002810819,0.00009781576,0.00008044886,0.0000132032,0.00001364209,0.000008451998,4.124717e-8,7.867148e-7,0.8298208,0.1013612,0.06859108],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002424901,0.000005288835,0.002723318,0.00004329543,0.00005515565,0.000001759384,0.00001116304,0.000013114,2.775641e-7,0.01490009,0.9816262,0.0003778364],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.00008629929,0.001853468,0.00001244185,0.001110933,0.001268812,0.00009495922,0.00002503186,0.0000903479,0.9954577],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.0007336825,0.0008069134,0.00003072375,0.003147932,0.006532209,0.000002037523,0.00009582466,0.00006555358,0.9885851],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.880265,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999787,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009344550978150774,"score_gpt":0.1857066259827481,"score_spread":0.1763620750045973,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}