{"id":"W3036642920","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-19-0255.1","title":"The Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH)","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":67,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; Natural Environment Research Council; Centro de Estudos Ambientais e Marinhos, Universidade de Aveiro; Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, Ohio State University; Institut chilien de l'Antarctique; Sight Research UK; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft; Korea Polar Research Institute; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia; Universidad de Magallanes; Institut Polaire Français Paul Emile Victor; Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research; Fonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRS; Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior; European Commission; Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Southern Hemisphere; Climatology; Extratropical cyclone; Radiosonde; Polar front; Sea ice; Northern Hemisphere; Environmental science; Peninsula; Meteorology; Oceanography; Geography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005137336,0.0002806837,0.0002209876,0.0005262962,0.0004506054,0.001154886,0.0002135385,0.0002325941,0.003451755],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0008825088,0.0001008153,0.0001555518,0.0009810149,0.0002111013,0.0004250377,0.0006490546,0.0006560214,0.0009124867],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005419267,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001395566,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04399671,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04732313,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998179,0.00001474501,0.00001133979,0.00004096565,0.00007587983,0.00003919388],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990851,0.00006828779,0.0001523401,0.00008148292,0.0004140424,0.0001987767],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001057839,0.000143627,0.4963911,0.0003459679,0.0001634658,0.0006986545,0.0003696251,0.01469547,0.006979693,0.00246799,0.339817,0.1368697],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008769101,0.0001670303,0.7635109,0.0001037006,0.00004338752,0.0001411704,0.0004161862,0.0102316,0.003903503,0.0007964254,0.2205598,0.00003866204],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7350512,0.002493663,0.00979399,0.003547116,0.007437322,0.0002446625,0.1469702,0.002470239,0.09199165],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8795432,0.001346181,0.004674413,0.0006347317,0.001207112,0.0001325217,0.09905406,0.0003607108,0.01304712],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04399671,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08748126,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01445945387534528,"score_gpt":0.2113151028133516,"score_spread":0.1968556489380063,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}