{"id":"W3037436375","doi":"10.3386/w27383","title":"China’s Import Demand for Agricultural Products: The Impact of the Phase One Trade Agreement","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Economic Research Service; U.S. Department of Agriculture","keywords":"Economics; China; Agriculture; International economics; International trade; Agreement on Agriculture; Agricultural economics; World trade; Geography; Political science; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007087563,0.0002594537,0.0003501095,0.0007065689,0.0007497711,0.002237206,0.000418111,0.0006018047,0.00443863],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002202167,0.0001726037,0.0005726803,0.001324932,0.0007234659,0.0009531779,0.0008973107,0.001080644,0.0003142755],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004599425,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003986062,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.176053,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1721178,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995197,0.00007096001,0.00001475011,0.00005478827,0.0001436626,0.0001961388],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985831,0.0003434962,0.0003270491,0.00006816579,0.000384037,0.0002942024],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001299448,0.0007037851,0.7968317,0.0004400496,0.0004128654,0.003897561,0.00207886,0.04285059,0.003439421,0.05500294,0.04361591,0.04942681],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001435001,0.0002634086,0.9444002,0.00007728284,0.0001606062,0.0001053456,0.002621612,0.0205229,0.001568962,0.005700539,0.02435917,0.00007660715],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.966817,0.0004639216,0.0001207287,0.003543013,0.00004784466,0.00001930652,0.001570398,0.00002654465,0.02739129],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9954664,0.0002583996,0.00003649244,0.0003031298,0.00001706674,0.000006752676,0.0009579999,0.000005665602,0.002948085],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.176053,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3500565,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4461201460387621,"score_gpt":0.4528073309571791,"score_spread":0.006687184918417022,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}