{"id":"W3038665773","doi":"10.1088/1748-9326/aba101","title":"Projected changes in fire size from daily spread potential in Canada over the 21st century","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Environmental Research Letters","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":71,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Canadian Forest Service; Natural Resources Canada; University of Alberta","funders":"","keywords":"Climate change; Boreal; Climatology; Environmental science; Fire regime; Percentile; Biome; Geography; Atmospheric sciences; Physical geography; Meteorology; Ecosystem; Ecology; Statistics; Mathematics; Geology; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005875682,0.0004554004,0.0001825401,0.0009321505,0.001009624,0.001264823,0.0006130835,0.0003972398,0.001797808],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001707541,0.000171018,0.0007102391,0.00129134,0.0003157038,0.0005792668,0.0004861532,0.0006981709,0.0002073071],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.02218873,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01408535,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9859137,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9891587,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997572,0.00001827021,0.00000897506,0.00004933511,0.00008360662,0.00008261714],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991127,0.00007581561,0.00007512387,0.00003270337,0.0005691862,0.0001343932],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002195109,0.00005354261,0.7567647,0.00009924002,0.0002817345,0.0002250175,0.0004155479,0.173116,0.002281748,0.006991463,0.007827686,0.05172376],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002795391,0.00003502203,0.8372411,0.00007746359,0.0001156174,0.0001400212,0.0008649545,0.1406382,0.001095814,0.002785061,0.01688173,0.00009701092],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.966638,0.001859753,0.004631839,0.001408274,0.00005897139,0.00002742042,0.01207703,0.0001715116,0.01312717],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9928611,0.000793154,0.001412797,0.0001204749,0.00001048969,0.000008210106,0.003339071,0.00001552866,0.001439131],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02218873,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1609913,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01151036371462457,"score_gpt":0.220310762064457,"score_spread":0.2088003983498324,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}