{"id":"W3042735414","doi":"10.1080/03014460.2020.1795256","title":"How can two biological variables have opposing secular trends, yet be positively related? A demonstration using timing of puberty and adult height","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Annals of Human Biology","topic":"Birth, Development, and Health","field":"Medicine","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"SickKids Foundation; Hospital for Sick Children","funders":"Medical Research Council","keywords":"Secular variation; Demography; Biology; Psychology; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002214411,0.0001476582,0.0004760875,0.0001191924,0.0001195398,0.000009601429,0.00005744115,0.0002104934,0.00003318721],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001065975,0.0001153958,0.00006264601,0.000117268,0.0002576602,0.00005224049,0.00004413784,0.0001767968,1.551515e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001309835,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00009727325,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002693742,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0000749002,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988415,0.0001436948,0.0003840943,0.0002979847,0.00007313798,0.0002595346],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992567,0.00004871513,0.0002610451,0.00009166355,0.0001911158,0.0001507451],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002545153,0.0001409704,0.1133822,0.0002525416,0.0003530588,0.00004114569,0.003737156,0.000001743099,0.7817097,0.09487173,0.000538017,0.004717245],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.01041663,0.01276996,0.329174,0.001604119,0.000648845,0.0008799707,0.005589381,0.00600854,0.5749076,0.05545916,0.0009715829,0.001570236],"study_design_candidate":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_consensus":"bench_or_experimental","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9841221,0.0006327165,0.0001771846,0.01360459,0.00002633335,0.0001450165,0.00004243667,0.00002134211,0.00122831],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9925536,0.002158077,0.002300474,0.002717164,0.00005112485,0.000002133479,0.0001989809,0.00001032874,0.000008137389],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2157918,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4705705,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1752493743904714,"score_gpt":0.3698159863348021,"score_spread":0.1945666119443306,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}