{"id":"W3043019604","doi":"10.1111/gcb.15199","title":"Drivers of future alien species impacts: An expert‐based assessment","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":276,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Windsor; McGill University; Fisheries and Oceans Canada","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia; National Science Foundation, United Arab Emirates; Natural Environment Research Council; Akademie Věd České Republiky; Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung; Transport Canada; Austrian Science Fund; Agence Nationale de la Recherche; National Research Foundation; Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica; European Cooperation in Science and Technology; Sight Research UK; Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung; Fisheries and Oceans Canada; Biodiversa+; Grantová Agentura České Republiky; Ernest Oppenheimer Memorial Trust; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Biodiversity; Convention on Biological Diversity; Biome; Climate change; Environmental resource management; Ecology; Geography; Introduced species; Alien; Alien species; Invasive species; Environmental planning; Ecosystem; Biology; Environmental science; Political science; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0000572235,0.0001349584,0.0001797077,0.000008612074,0.00005188691,0.00001000429,0.0002582002,0.0001139414,0.03628033],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001167581,0.0001131175,0.00006541526,0.0002258327,0.0002265799,0.0001050337,0.0001356619,0.00005354325,0.0001957027],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004093277,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001019739,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004080835,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002323671,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991,0.00006470081,0.0001431401,0.0002745476,0.0001383842,0.000279251],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995226,0.000007528201,0.00008578801,0.0001626981,0.00001192989,0.0002094716],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001056534,0.0002474885,0.9296353,0.0000202399,0.00002534886,0.00001296169,0.001390564,0.000001960443,0.02636795,0.007794918,0.03021909,0.00417852],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006217815,0.0006922251,0.7025528,0.000003460438,0.000009913581,0.000002327617,0.005857357,0.0001641838,0.0007238901,0.0000333126,0.2891233,0.0002154666],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9647498,0.0002085239,0.0001969806,0.0101709,0.0004432265,0.000273509,0.001506316,0.00009255548,0.02235815],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9937322,0.0001228065,0.000193495,0.005296777,0.0002707328,0.00001576228,0.0003576424,0.000004525123,0.00000611958],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2589042,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9646006,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07807211318084242,"score_gpt":0.3260975624362008,"score_spread":0.2480254492553584,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}