{"id":"W3043146590","doi":"10.1038/s41558-020-0818-9","title":"Fasting season length sets temporal limits for global polar bear persistence","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Climate Change","topic":"Marine animal studies overview","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":112,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"The Scarborough Hospital; University of Toronto","funders":"Polar Knowledge Canada; Canada Foundation for Innovation; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Ursus maritimus; Circumpolar star; Sea ice; Arctic; Climate change; Global warming; Range (aeronautics); Persistence (discontinuity); Ecology; Ice-albedo feedback; Arctic ice pack; Environmental science; Polar; Climatology; Geography; Biology; Oceanography; Antarctic sea ice; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001720032,0.0002317376,0.0002473863,0.000007196061,0.0002683855,0.00003794683,0.0003422491,0.0001932538,0.0003746692],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002080109,0.0002122993,0.0001367207,0.0003109477,0.00006854505,0.0002478663,0.0005427037,0.0002996478,0.000228548],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002070489,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000004709203,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001636099,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0008539279,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983818,0.00003138544,0.000166394,0.0005238723,0.0003368552,0.0005596768],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994661,0.00004208925,0.0001086232,0.0001538034,0.00002070344,0.0002087381],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001635292,0.00008800384,0.9239661,0.0005177993,0.00004037843,0.00004048645,0.001547358,0.000004573054,0.0003369357,0.0004834921,0.01297031,0.0598411],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000949244,0.0006863707,0.6745893,0.0001241358,0.0001045208,0.00001666733,0.0009270057,0.002716308,0.0001638122,0.00008792917,0.318864,0.0007706964],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8825125,0.00954445,0.00004593779,0.04048891,0.0007987216,0.002873385,0.001457736,0.0005333686,0.06174502],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9889662,0.0003754724,0.001921152,0.008216661,0.0003704733,0.00005504824,0.00004885789,0.00002404508,0.00002211222],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3058937,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8657312,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08167355878377282,"score_gpt":0.2900439465189065,"score_spread":0.2083703877351337,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}