{"id":"W3044509517","doi":"10.1101/2020.07.22.20157263","title":"The best COVID-19 predictor is recent smell loss: a cross-sectional study","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"Olfactory and Sensory Function Studies","field":"Neuroscience","cited_by":37,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"St. Thomas Hospital; Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières","funders":"National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; National Institutes of Health; Imperial College London; University of Pennsylvania; National Institute on Deafness and Other Communication Disorders; National Institute of Nursing Research; Pennsylvania State University","keywords":"Hyposmia; Anosmia; Medicine; Visual analogue scale; Cross-sectional study; Logistic regression; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Subclinical infection; Audiology; Severity of illness; Olfaction; Odor; Internal medicine; Psychology; Physical therapy; Disease; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","sts","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000688193,0.0004541366,0.0004156113,0.00008273676,0.001712989,0.0004853089,0.0009024365,0.0002118856,0.0006708307],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005438687,0.0003209541,0.0002463635,0.0003220585,0.0006042089,0.000086347,0.001251185,0.001251694,0.0008719331],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002165542,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003797209,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002909007,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003461555,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9956039,0.0006624141,0.0007124392,0.001500219,0.001094212,0.0004268466],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970121,0.001181102,0.0003655095,0.0008936072,0.0001750984,0.0003725645],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002984108,0.0003872445,0.9915309,0.00008356527,0.00009943717,0.00009742932,0.002412084,0.0002094291,0.001513407,0.0001317185,0.003177063,0.00005931834],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008334637,0.0003736872,0.4416295,0.00001145273,0.00006398526,0.00002322529,0.0008072768,0.0001064989,0.001830817,0.001402079,0.5524499,0.0004681611],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9830446,0.0002224077,0.0001458101,0.00530001,0.007442641,0.001301279,0.0004080946,0.0003183273,0.001816834],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9887033,0.0008746579,0.00000642953,0.004363548,0.0008758534,0.0002307328,0.000007029082,0.00004277882,0.004895664],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5499014,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999242,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3072695395048943,"score_gpt":0.3689849974098708,"score_spread":0.06171545790497651,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}