{"id":"W3044844972","doi":"10.1186/s12916-020-01705-8","title":"Simulating the effect of school closure during COVID-19 outbreaks in Ontario, Canada","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"BMC Medicine","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":76,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Nova Scotia Health Authority; Izaak Walton Killam Health Centre; Dalhousie University; University of Manitoba; York University","funders":"Canadian Institutes of Health Research; Sanofi Pasteur; Sanofi; GlaxoSmithKline; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Pfizer","keywords":"Medicine; Outbreak; Attack rate; Social distance; Pandemic; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Demography; Intensive care unit; Population; Emergency medicine; Demographics; Transmission (telecommunications); Pediatrics; Disease; Environmental health; Intensive care medicine; Internal medicine; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Virology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006321643,0.0007788356,0.0005098799,0.0005112401,0.001454486,0.0009217985,0.001737705,0.001071985,0.003429803],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002833039,0.0004738096,0.0007581941,0.0007427835,0.001036032,0.0004286534,0.0007428731,0.0006469998,0.0002029481],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.02382967,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.02295082,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9834275,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9789693,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995356,0.0000932706,0.00001616834,0.00006440537,0.00006227873,0.0002282145],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982573,0.0005436789,0.0001625848,0.00005512826,0.0006479113,0.0003333028],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002514909,0.0001214722,0.04567974,0.00006336337,0.00006555423,0.0002388591,0.0002108832,0.9467109,0.0004445978,0.001219618,0.002449987,0.002543398],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002689171,0.0001338887,0.02601147,0.0000275718,0.0000641354,0.00002744642,0.000787203,0.9690579,0.0002166129,0.0004842767,0.002884285,0.00003634154],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9829205,0.00024528,0.002137841,0.0006454702,0.00004123147,0.000132138,0.004166474,0.00009149181,0.009619528],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9939307,0.0001364739,0.001411429,0.00006134663,0.000005557313,0.00004412155,0.002081886,0.00001091827,0.002317571],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02382967,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1728972,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2025495189719293,"score_gpt":0.3975499321668763,"score_spread":0.195000413194947,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}