{"id":"W3047625125","doi":"10.1051/0004-6361/202038953","title":"Modeling the past and future activity of the Halleyid meteor showers","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Astronomy and Astrophysics","topic":"Astro and Planetary Science","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":18,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"Nuclear Safety and Security Commission; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Canada Research Chairs; National Aeronautics and Space Administration","keywords":"Meteor (satellite); Meteor shower; Meteoroid; Jupiter (rocket family); Weighting; Term (time)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002456977,0.000392256,0.0003861876,0.0002623341,0.000324169,0.000769013,0.001109819,0.0008057426,0.001753517],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001314485,0.000326204,0.0004784473,0.0003091829,0.0004418628,0.0009413671,0.0005193026,0.0005731887,0.0001903885],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009187807,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001050294,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02862607,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0187195,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999169,0.00001792466,0.00000592598,0.00002847548,0.00001437621,0.00001627864],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999668,0.0001025838,0.000103084,0.00002337241,0.00005356247,0.00004942045],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001448867,0.000008706333,0.002732716,0.000008102907,0.00001652381,0.00003276164,0.00001631194,0.9949524,0.0003783103,0.0009897628,0.0001337302,0.0007162304],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007001731,0.000005876704,0.000508293,0.000001746118,0.000007013888,0.000007740128,0.000006666047,0.9985708,0.00008538588,0.0004530608,0.000343184,0.00000321647],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7568387,0.000421302,0.2230254,0.0008937247,0.000235715,0.00009900695,0.001920735,0.0005050626,0.01606027],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9756852,0.0002310796,0.01713214,0.00007928232,0.00005270553,0.0001002864,0.0006122769,0.00005633165,0.006050661],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02862607,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05691892,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.00931122654728308,"score_gpt":0.182956890290803,"score_spread":0.1736456637435199,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}