{"id":"W3048387480","doi":"10.1101/2020.08.09.20149286","title":"The effect of early-stage public health policies on the transmission of COVID-19 in South American countries","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"","keywords":"Quarantine; Outbreak; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Pandemic; Public health; Confidence interval; Transmission (telecommunications); Demography; Isolation (microbiology); Geography; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Socioeconomics; Environmental health; Medicine; Disease; Statistics; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Economics; Virology; Sociology; Mathematics; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003880268,0.0002991785,0.0002018176,0.0004509359,0.0003294098,0.0009014798,0.0003951423,0.0004158457,0.001049756],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01157239,0.0001637347,0.0004925745,0.0004733128,0.0008228739,0.000576301,0.001036832,0.0006409404,0.0000582966],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001624999,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002220918,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02636874,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02025351,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982365,0.001124226,0.0000592142,0.000142186,0.0001276318,0.0003100988],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.992797,0.003279593,0.00254222,0.0003554252,0.0006353351,0.0003905915],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001727952,0.0004008703,0.900414,0.0005961469,0.0006118529,0.0006187639,0.001240858,0.02251218,0.005896397,0.006783777,0.001543762,0.05765349],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006240132,0.0005756653,0.9904791,0.0001536836,0.0001239222,0.00006281851,0.001255061,0.003476368,0.001417081,0.00069943,0.001677637,0.00001686655],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9953296,0.0006357997,0.0003932525,0.0007226885,0.0000127126,0.00002340856,0.0001405653,0.000009312624,0.002732716],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9993128,0.0002388525,0.0001543662,0.0001230368,0.000005992039,0.000009922011,0.0000443567,0.000001127655,0.0001096241],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02636874,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05243051,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2554446628376086,"score_gpt":0.4396094166438965,"score_spread":0.1841647538062879,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}