{"id":"W3081301332","doi":"10.1038/s41592-020-0943-4","title":"Uncertainty and the management of epidemics","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Methods","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Canada's Michael Smith Genome Sciences Centre","funders":"","keywords":"Plague (disease); Curing (chemistry); Biology; Computer science; Medicine; Chemistry; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01667837,0.001006213,0.002280751,0.002633444,0.001522298,0.005840265,0.00222802,0.003188613,0.00397394],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1010996,0.0009352286,0.001423674,0.001857997,0.005195321,0.00754451,0.003811299,0.003904284,0.0002372803],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00344145,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002498245,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00490833,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002657253,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9901782,0.007209891,0.0003538478,0.0008219765,0.0008883782,0.0005477894],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8897673,0.097518,0.007599797,0.002159583,0.001811034,0.00114427],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006645621,0.0000469681,0.002058858,0.0001640213,0.0001352811,0.0000824448,0.0004274994,0.141145,0.0001092648,0.8395376,0.001956797,0.01426988],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001286156,0.00001704706,0.0002831487,0.0000396632,0.00001738776,0.0000199018,0.0001208209,0.1490465,0.00004007738,0.8492438,0.00114204,0.00001667319],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.1144565,0.01207571,0.8233466,0.02872757,0.0007005018,0.0001125633,0.0004625844,0.0001920359,0.01992583],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.950491,0.006253638,0.03580843,0.0007381757,0.0008244068,0.0001582887,0.0001600737,0.00007249678,0.005493532],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01667837,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08820468,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2850664290392756,"score_gpt":0.5350368466632035,"score_spread":0.2499704176239279,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}