{"id":"W3082078317","doi":"10.2196/20588","title":"Nowcasting Sexually Transmitted Infections in Chicago: Predictive Modeling and Evaluation Study Using Google Trends","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"JMIR Public Health and Surveillance","topic":"Data-Driven Disease Surveillance","field":"Medicine","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences; National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; Northwestern University","keywords":"Gonorrhea; Medicine; Chlamydia; Syphilis; Public health; Men who have sex with men; Psychological intervention; Public health surveillance; Sexually transmitted disease; Demography; Reproductive health; Family medicine; Environmental health; Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); Population; Immunology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004912796,0.001213787,0.0008115504,0.004368061,0.0005154838,0.001651346,0.001564502,0.0008518655,0.001329356],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01029828,0.0004935892,0.001437067,0.003864744,0.0006095649,0.001691893,0.00116129,0.001253289,0.000348762],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002830359,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001994406,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1857022,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09655584,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989977,0.0004583514,0.00006808791,0.0002098986,0.0001581223,0.0001077467],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9923821,0.005534708,0.0005217783,0.0004588749,0.0008075448,0.0002949444],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009162161,0.001462574,0.4718834,0.0004481372,0.0005611666,0.0003985798,0.0006179176,0.4619445,0.0003049839,0.002504866,0.009169379,0.04978821],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004074606,0.0002103518,0.02685115,0.00003533046,0.00007346582,0.00005523598,0.0002847113,0.9709466,0.0001515033,0.0006015836,0.0007275753,0.00002173469],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9893289,0.0006018822,0.00323127,0.0006644364,0.00005810542,0.0001942632,0.00408313,0.0003962976,0.001441691],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9859601,0.0005228576,0.005486687,0.00006590402,0.00004638732,0.0001037794,0.007300844,0.00003900735,0.0004743208],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1857022,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3692426,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08756500780622882,"score_gpt":0.3724390649755229,"score_spread":0.2848740571692941,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}