{"id":"W3084157375","doi":"10.1029/2020wr027187","title":"The Spatial Dynamics of Droughts and Water Scarcity in England and Wales","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Water Resources Research","topic":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":69,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Canmore Museum and Geoscience Centre; University of Saskatchewan","funders":"Natural Environment Research Council; Sight Research UK","keywords":"Water scarcity; Environmental science; Hydrology (agriculture); Streamflow; Drainage basin; Water resources; Water resource management; Precipitation; Climate change; Water storage; Scarcity; Water year; Water supply; Resilience (materials science); Spatial ecology; Geography; Ecology; Meteorology; Environmental engineering; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004635593,0.00008020509,0.0002344092,0.0004956401,0.0002132097,0.0007903384,0.0003059052,0.0002838079,0.00124461],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001845622,0.000207962,0.0002313224,0.0007604071,0.0004457667,0.0005407517,0.001017908,0.0002317573,0.00009558621],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001208717,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004595385,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1207686,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1199733,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999799,0.00007338035,0.0000163465,0.00004403314,0.00002224464,0.0000450798],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990319,0.0003439029,0.0002545032,0.00007658571,0.0001841924,0.000108926],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001345062,0.00005298091,0.9489889,0.00007177491,0.0001604264,0.0006693989,0.001019903,0.03698767,0.002079224,0.001761082,0.001083989,0.006990231],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008609091,0.0000357613,0.9614756,0.000018929,0.00002069802,0.00008095098,0.001498678,0.03499396,0.0001631064,0.0005661671,0.001116194,0.00002138602],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9989793,0.00004362934,0.0001822884,0.000112958,0.000002280399,0.000002678477,0.0002206538,0.000004468424,0.00045164],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9996349,0.00003444575,0.00005039011,0.00001068419,0.000001100072,0.000003513962,0.00009487721,9.421206e-7,0.0001691993],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1207686,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2401313,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02047225829052513,"score_gpt":0.2641540827845023,"score_spread":0.2436818244939772,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}