{"id":"W3084330139","doi":"10.1017/s1365100520000383","title":"“WAIT AND SEE” OR “FEAR OF FLOATING”?","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Macroeconomic Dynamics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Volatility (finance); Intervention (counseling); China; Welfare; Exchange rate; Floating exchange rate; Monetary economics; Central bank; Monetary policy; Econometrics; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000261198,0.0002068495,0.0006275029,0.0001113411,0.00006780397,0.00005402286,0.0002570656,0.0001107108,0.001535463],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00009382721,0.0002373568,0.0001084952,0.00008245086,0.0001306045,0.0002534857,0.0001253041,0.0001549462,0.00073325],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001032115,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002058538,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005047646,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000094335,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983373,0.00001081992,0.0008457273,0.0004549703,0.00001304339,0.0003381852],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990025,0.00006711465,0.0004449056,0.000271159,0.00000572099,0.0002086636],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007493423,0.0001892176,0.4586469,0.0008042642,0.000785504,0.00002711864,0.006924603,0.02061393,0.0001067035,0.4821208,0.009293607,0.01973793],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001273442,0.000260689,0.0128541,0.00001277552,0.0000148184,0.00002136141,0.0002611207,0.9507498,0.00006175723,0.01041907,0.02357032,0.0005008056],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9752069,0.0003496418,0.002183942,0.002934945,0.0002110208,0.0002069311,0.0008888949,0.00004848716,0.01796925],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9946226,0.0002012882,0.002363043,0.001462615,0.0001473536,0.000003934202,0.00003497994,0.00003969708,0.001124477],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9301358,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9993773,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05234095719858849,"score_gpt":0.2179555529209709,"score_spread":0.1656145957223824,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}