{"id":"W3087402740","doi":"10.1126/science.abd7343","title":"Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next 5 years","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Science","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":330,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; C3.ai Digital Transformation Institute; Flu Lab; Life Sciences Research Foundation; National Science Foundation; James S. McDonnell Foundation; Open Philanthropy Project","keywords":"Immune system; Vaccination; Immunity; Pandemic; Coronavirus; Acquired immune system; Immunology; Disease; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Medicine; Biology; Virology; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001043233,0.0001549276,0.0001758326,0.0002694301,0.0002456609,0.0005649657,0.0002259629,0.0004447902,0.002757587],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004114071,0.00009337653,0.0002712728,0.0002591353,0.0003204504,0.0005803782,0.0003679046,0.0004491705,0.0002740099],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004546491,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002545888,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00437707,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005759812,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998573,0.00005577838,0.000004513614,0.00003597111,0.000009603586,0.00003676501],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990672,0.0003615613,0.0003375983,0.00004428571,0.00005815259,0.0001311647],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004377704,0.0001457414,0.900832,0.00006724455,0.0002360473,0.0003595216,0.0004473069,0.05907529,0.004967835,0.01441685,0.001631458,0.01738309],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002010142,0.0003771547,0.8499658,0.00005703537,0.000123119,0.0003527837,0.0009402683,0.1321103,0.0008270704,0.0117418,0.003448979,0.00003562891],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9963491,0.0004596549,0.001418406,0.0004145346,0.00001282897,0.000004050106,0.0002340758,0.000007126756,0.001100231],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991788,0.0001407408,0.0001631706,0.00004869264,0.000005561401,0.000002999464,0.0001506361,0.0000017013,0.0003075879],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00437707,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.009225011,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2531469444834039,"score_gpt":0.3919046313949345,"score_spread":0.1387576869115306,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}