{"id":"W3087402740","doi":"10.1126/science.abd7343","title":"Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next 5 years","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Science","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":330,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; C3.ai Digital Transformation Institute; Flu Lab; Life Sciences Research Foundation; National Science Foundation; James S. McDonnell Foundation; Open Philanthropy Project","keywords":"Immune system; Vaccination; Immunity; Pandemic; Coronavirus; Acquired immune system; Immunology; Disease; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Medicine; Biology; Virology; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001638107,0.00005979541,0.0001730478,0.00001464283,0.000134314,0.0000160696,0.0004654719,0.00001862494,0.00002350974],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01510339,0.00002917093,0.00003979335,0.0002693682,0.0009870055,0.00008742789,0.0003307956,0.00009296474,0.000005268178],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000997479,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007440102,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0000891841,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003312001,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991871,0.00007770164,0.0002048176,0.000168423,0.0002354082,0.0001265329],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980133,0.001540555,0.0001421075,0.0002173092,0.00006277559,0.0000239442],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005957028,0.00004270815,0.005856795,0.00009579081,0.00003063709,0.000001399605,0.01084349,0.00002167132,0.005770472,0.953778,0.01833946,0.005159979],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001288755,0.0001252545,0.5767052,0.00002934929,0.00006882363,0.000002151665,0.001293681,0.1097925,0.0005893966,0.2824031,0.02742142,0.0002803581],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9392227,0.002782171,0.003526852,0.05197524,0.0002070556,0.0004004244,0.000003835245,0.00004975268,0.001831961],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.995163,0.00008954371,0.0004635747,0.004215518,0.00002161535,0.000005848272,9.230425e-8,0.000003155105,0.00003761503],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6713749,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9931928,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2531469444834039,"score_gpt":0.3919046313949345,"score_spread":0.1387576869115306,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}