{"id":"W3089164098","doi":"10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.09.005","title":"The international propagation of economic downturns through multinational companies: The real economy channel","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Financial Economics","topic":"Corporate Finance and Governance","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":49,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Subsidiary; Multinational corporation; Recession; Business; Investment (military); Economics; Finance; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001778943,0.0001842965,0.0002622933,0.00181454,0.0008040461,0.005770559,0.0003443433,0.001272464,0.01177229],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01076877,0.0002685594,0.0002064546,0.002745489,0.001373512,0.00386143,0.001997837,0.001844171,0.000745372],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00116884,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000781426,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01509622,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01605369,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995323,0.0001258506,0.00003014104,0.00005778739,0.00007971397,0.0001741336],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9903194,0.002932207,0.004162608,0.0005654814,0.00112578,0.0008945726],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001353332,0.0003782903,0.7701151,0.0002924234,0.0002787458,0.00171897,0.0118242,0.005469494,0.00176057,0.05986469,0.03432637,0.1126178],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00009832707,0.0002357147,0.8928823,0.0005398662,0.0001930018,0.0004975387,0.02268552,0.005240215,0.000655351,0.01665802,0.06020979,0.0001042713],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9137992,0.003277104,0.001054325,0.01515392,0.0002618903,0.00003226851,0.001374852,0.00007255847,0.06497379],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963231,0.001283749,0.00008977915,0.0003556952,0.000134132,0.000005061989,0.0001924689,0.00001973481,0.001596441],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01509622,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03938228,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01762652164999203,"score_gpt":0.2171761768158225,"score_spread":0.1995496551658305,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}