{"id":"W3090902970","doi":"10.1111/gove.12548","title":"Do governments keep their promises? An analysis of speeches from the throne","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Governance","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"","keywords":"Throne; Legislature; Politics; Recession; Political science; Public administration; Executive branch; Political economy; State (computer science); Economics; Sociology; Law; Keynesian economics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002005296,0.0000648116,0.0001805859,0.000003039057,0.0001237299,0.00004022746,0.0002596389,0.00004305778,0.0003603449],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002713208,0.00004340021,0.00007806024,0.0003887157,0.000115182,0.0001572328,0.00002405662,0.00005951987,0.00001966586],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00008255707,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004706723,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04132782,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0159625,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988939,0.0001687988,0.0001746605,0.0001639807,0.0004202857,0.0001783609],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993606,0.0001562132,0.0001766782,0.0001690669,0.00003600572,0.0001014897],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006593213,0.0001360569,0.8147581,0.00001217469,0.0005343636,0.000001606372,0.03579508,0.0001571605,0.00406339,0.1353723,0.001730626,0.007373211],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001684067,0.00007138939,0.9693976,0.00001991929,0.000219809,1.30133e-8,0.001607784,0.001178804,0.00208797,0.002192614,0.022925,0.0001306595],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9900814,0.0002268628,0.0001157823,0.005177687,0.00006238397,0.0001401376,0.0002173098,0.00001848749,0.003959983],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989924,0.00002617258,0.00003864406,0.0004887797,0.0002909252,0.000006497824,0.000006363701,0.000004417961,0.0001458238],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1546396,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9650561,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07374399472083824,"score_gpt":0.3333555529554912,"score_spread":0.2596115582346529,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}