{"id":"W3092758885","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3677596","title":"Who Knew What When: The International Transmission of Information on the COVID-19 Outbreak","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada; Centre for International Governance Innovation","funders":"","keywords":"Outbreak; Pandemic; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Mainland China; Transmission (telecommunications); Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); China; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Scale (ratio); Geography; Political science; Economic growth; Medicine; Virology; Economics; Computer science; Cartography; Disease; Law; Telecommunications; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004338119,0.0001713824,0.0002597983,0.001201475,0.000998419,0.003936666,0.0004163002,0.001099657,0.009162646],"category_scores_gemma":[0.05154667,0.00020157,0.0002767499,0.001873535,0.002096527,0.005562023,0.001500056,0.002484366,0.0005805129],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001557942,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0012645,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02105907,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.006854657,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980432,0.00128463,0.00006402819,0.0001278851,0.0002128839,0.0002674322],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9810228,0.01449127,0.002583444,0.0006773614,0.0007933207,0.0004317409],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001564579,0.0005163685,0.1843234,0.0003667032,0.0001810257,0.001196825,0.0309628,0.004662984,0.0008993478,0.6130284,0.02801709,0.1342805],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002215017,0.000475491,0.2584668,0.001437072,0.0004651492,0.002679367,0.07669982,0.0333771,0.002270416,0.5726655,0.05106235,0.0001794514],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7796082,0.00223228,0.00594225,0.07613698,0.0002614504,0.00006666402,0.001013312,0.00004103711,0.1346979],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9959944,0.0008319714,0.0005376246,0.000503268,0.00009805434,0.00001249939,0.0001018496,0.00001299866,0.001907151],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02105907,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04187298,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1249493443388493,"score_gpt":0.364497226454806,"score_spread":0.2395478821159566,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}