{"id":"W3093907933","doi":"10.1128/mbio.02617-20","title":"The Interaction of Natural and Vaccine-Induced Immunity with Social Distancing Predicts the Evolution of the COVID-19 Pandemic","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"mBio","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":27,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Women and Children’s Health Research Institute; University of Alberta","funders":"National Health and Medical Research Council; Department of Health and Aged Care, Australian Government; University of Alberta","keywords":"Immunity; Pandemic; Herd immunity; Virology; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Social distance; Immunology; Virus; Population; Coronavirus; Biology; Vaccination; Medicine; Immune system; Disease; Environmental health; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007120337,0.000092147,0.0002044187,0.000006859497,0.0004928703,0.00000896841,0.0002103043,0.00004679292,0.000003162066],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007446891,0.00003559354,0.00006196895,0.0001666434,0.0001432316,0.00003923379,0.0002101504,0.0003083379,2.723529e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002000041,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005940819,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006287323,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001265393,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989856,0.000360432,0.0002677104,0.0001128393,0.0001555255,0.0001178453],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9960724,0.003358079,0.0003158677,0.0001639215,0.00006305316,0.00002664677],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002465381,0.0001741607,0.8534098,0.00112315,0.0007293505,0.000001779332,0.04561671,0.00009649554,0.03643298,0.04469943,0.01114043,0.004110322],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00229868,0.0005107245,0.8905221,0.0001463342,0.0003845413,0.00001764268,0.02467221,0.004305456,0.001620118,0.07128599,0.003913775,0.0003224144],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9842933,0.0002605088,0.001111568,0.01384466,0.00007831947,0.0002983241,0.000007648197,0.00003214286,0.00007355441],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.999317,0.00002012457,0.00003236021,0.0005415018,0.00006014873,0.00001099158,5.894152e-7,0.000005201717,0.00001211963],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03711231,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8915162,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1844635309053429,"score_gpt":0.3919445611677687,"score_spread":0.2074810302624258,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}