{"id":"W3094368815","doi":"10.1038/s41558-020-00917-3","title":"Winter temperatures predominate in spring phenological responses to warming","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Climate Change","topic":"Plant and animal studies","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":137,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Western Forest Products; University of British Columbia","funders":"Canadian Network for Research and Innovation in Machining Technology, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Canada Research Chairs; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Phenology; photoperiodism; Forcing (mathematics); Climate change; Global warming; Environmental science; Spring (device); Ecology; Biology; Climatology; Botany; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001283954,0.0001537652,0.0002102458,0.00001501254,0.0001194779,0.00004891877,0.0002124666,0.000165743,0.00009259592],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001863553,0.00005623178,0.00005705927,0.000295764,0.00002286962,0.000088569,0.0002444794,0.000381831,0.00004035481],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001704117,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000001009557,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001770677,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0008359085,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989869,0.00004849437,0.0001347686,0.000329822,0.0001298636,0.0003701282],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996859,0.0001382412,0.00003028775,0.00001657693,0.00002441161,0.0001045668],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001111184,0.00006934491,0.2194592,0.00003633759,0.00001130152,0.0002636047,0.001943615,2.51597e-7,0.7672033,0.0004045453,0.001470557,0.008026728],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001541328,0.0003421729,0.9503736,0.0000915695,0.000005189902,0.000005209773,0.0008379245,0.00001105183,0.005086604,0.00002160848,0.04282425,0.0002466658],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9690846,0.001179139,3.491971e-8,0.02871823,0.00006722524,0.0002180626,0.0001105651,0.00008958009,0.0005325527],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9908186,0.0002977387,0.00004641134,0.008115174,0.0006576749,0.00003312853,0.000008178024,0.000001169265,0.00002195511],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7621167,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2293065,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1002711337709092,"score_gpt":0.2688417794928058,"score_spread":0.1685706457218966,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}