{"id":"W3094553238","doi":"10.1007/s00198-020-05700-w","title":"The use of 2-, 5-, and 10-year probabilities to characterize fracture risk after a recent sentinel fracture","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Osteoporosis International","topic":"Facial Trauma and Fracture Management","field":"Medicine","cited_by":31,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Manitoba","funders":"Medical Research Council; Novo Nordisk Fonden","keywords":"Fracture (geology); Medicine; FRAX; Statistics; Osteoporosis; Osteoporotic fracture; Mathematics; Internal medicine; Geology; Geotechnical engineering; Bone mineral","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001090675,0.0001626324,0.0002103286,0.00004863476,0.00006624678,0.00009824092,0.000127098,0.00007692878,0.001439352],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005614979,0.00010711,0.00008893974,0.000097612,0.00008202701,0.0001232111,0.000122954,0.0002110643,0.00004175599],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003933288,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002462961,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00003742584,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00001328596,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987929,0.00003640729,0.0003103665,0.0002812542,0.0004209681,0.0001580861],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991497,0.0001160244,0.0001449163,0.0002051477,0.0002329984,0.0001512107],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01374031,0.0008104435,0.5471179,0.0005103212,0.001637753,0.00008389946,0.02156531,0.0003133512,0.004307552,0.0006957243,0.2955766,0.1136409],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004923247,0.0001221772,0.267647,0.00004254571,0.00005723256,0.000003084972,0.0002135161,0.0001122638,0.0004405275,0.00003897349,0.7307453,0.00008510786],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8626023,0.0001404194,0.0004177168,0.133926,0.000285068,0.0008562397,0.0002263929,0.00005529747,0.001490537],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9801428,0.0003146757,0.001196474,0.01631025,0.0003501891,0.00006380666,0.00009294952,0.00002135093,0.001507536],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4351687,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9994735,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03619093996946011,"score_gpt":0.2569384579839495,"score_spread":0.2207475180144894,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}