{"id":"W3095377774","doi":"10.1101/2020.11.04.20226316","title":"Don’t wait, re-escalate: delayed action results in longer duration of COVID-19 restrictions","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of New Brunswick; Memorial University of Newfoundland","funders":"","keywords":"Duration (music); Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Outbreak; Psychological intervention; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Public health interventions; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Action (physics); Set (abstract data type); Economics; Econometrics; Demographic economics; Demography; Psychology; Medicine; Computer science; Virology; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006247571,0.0003954636,0.0006250094,0.0003137935,0.000347976,0.002099907,0.001075561,0.001072306,0.009872916],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02912736,0.0002979994,0.0009673273,0.000321122,0.001564057,0.001826017,0.0009614772,0.001922755,0.0005509841],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001113523,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001179281,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003680372,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00337407,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976203,0.001223739,0.0001163488,0.0004506343,0.0002345574,0.000354537],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9780185,0.01409859,0.005072165,0.001543093,0.0005070303,0.0007605951],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.005875656,0.001961658,0.1985952,0.001975519,0.001527921,0.002753692,0.001696707,0.2020987,0.02951613,0.3802447,0.02578413,0.1479701],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007039099,0.003947701,0.11648,0.0004341374,0.0008521592,0.001876583,0.002336429,0.3976707,0.01863915,0.4355176,0.02129717,0.0002444705],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.860817,0.001899388,0.09822991,0.01719203,0.0003834389,0.0001814798,0.001044165,0.0002192539,0.02003326],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9882634,0.0002563076,0.00766605,0.0005655028,0.00004825569,0.00005010653,0.0001101196,0.0000264196,0.00301381],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.009872916,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0330407,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.343931536320214,"score_gpt":0.4444208084000752,"score_spread":0.1004892720798612,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}