{"id":"W3096052937","doi":"10.1111/gcb.15441","title":"Ensemble modelling, uncertainty and robust predictions of organic carbon in long‐term bare‐fallow soils","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Dynamics","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":112,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa; Wilfrid Laurier University; Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada","funders":"Natural Environment Research Council; Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council; Miljø- og Fødevareministeriet; Ministry of Environment; Agence Nationale de la Recherche; European Commission; Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada; Sight Research UK","keywords":"Term (time); Soil carbon; Environmental science; Soil water; Carbon fibers; Soil science; Carbon cycle; Ecology; Mathematics; Physics; Ecosystem; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001856208,0.0006128469,0.0005890463,0.0004825801,0.0003345783,0.0007707745,0.000568461,0.0006531529,0.0001917702],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003009306,0.0002837229,0.000653647,0.0004379767,0.0003256689,0.0007400732,0.0005073089,0.0005198516,0.00004375515],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008714624,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006164731,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01836574,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01236861,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996562,0.0001333406,0.00002580767,0.00008671788,0.00004376241,0.00005419343],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983908,0.0009585212,0.0001984282,0.0001922911,0.0001885666,0.00007154841],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004764901,0.00002254937,0.00678478,0.000006034976,0.00005113446,0.0000136941,0.00001442963,0.9897608,0.0009506918,0.0001368757,0.00002621882,0.00218519],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000005679939,0.00002034491,0.00383819,0.000001787408,0.00001243697,0.000003925384,0.000007737891,0.9952214,0.0006032797,0.0002402243,0.00003836415,0.000006685854],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9879009,0.0000627198,0.01144206,0.00003118978,0.000006325226,0.000007717224,0.0001171275,0.00007259058,0.0003594714],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9979897,0.00002465156,0.001765977,0.000004142532,0.000002626958,0.000009607217,0.0001484673,0.000007710008,0.00004712029],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01836574,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03651768,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05453757873091529,"score_gpt":0.2365452305491979,"score_spread":0.1820076518182827,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}