{"id":"W3104576078","doi":"10.34989/sdp-2020-10","title":"Assessing Global Potential Output Growth: October 2020","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Production (economics); Humanities; Political science; Economics; Philosophy; Microeconomics; Medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001293202,0.001162779,0.000407455,0.001428087,0.0003712148,0.002495078,0.0005494318,0.0009150499,0.002853462],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003436587,0.0002767589,0.00049768,0.002109721,0.0003523778,0.00298384,0.001864849,0.0009754648,0.001532252],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001436602,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001078671,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01633491,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01537113,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995165,0.00007848781,0.00002813056,0.00007940951,0.0002254125,0.00007210225],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989762,0.0001257759,0.0001829924,0.00005032579,0.0005349543,0.0001296606],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00172115,0.0001767498,0.2976562,0.001473624,0.0006383767,0.0019902,0.001090952,0.2846899,0.003023898,0.07508218,0.1866831,0.1457736],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008807683,0.0005643589,0.385004,0.000741362,0.0002197732,0.0007270172,0.002351567,0.1339301,0.009307907,0.04409375,0.4227477,0.0002245042],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5431904,0.006933867,0.03044733,0.008601476,0.001854093,0.0001838621,0.1996903,0.001544902,0.2075538],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8818173,0.003624244,0.005890718,0.0006292016,0.0002576837,0.0002039214,0.0965287,0.0002578206,0.01079049],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01633491,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0324797,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04813429656144428,"score_gpt":0.3174594450204273,"score_spread":0.269325148458983,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}