{"id":"W3107306318","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3265612","title":"Predicting Surgery Duration: Physician Input, Statistical Models, and Combined Models","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Healthcare Policy and Management","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"","keywords":"Duration (music); Medicine; Statistical model; Statistics; Surgery; Computer science; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003945409,0.001196812,0.001551216,0.001539372,0.0003326595,0.001942866,0.001131433,0.001735968,0.004167374],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02355627,0.0005427214,0.001547392,0.002193827,0.0002959328,0.001291857,0.0008716148,0.001531712,0.0008006346],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008933205,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001677583,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02021822,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01469871,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982538,0.0009824532,0.0001054921,0.0002480617,0.0002089866,0.000201315],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9777582,0.01874401,0.0009052849,0.000726641,0.001140954,0.0007248519],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002462879,0.001333656,0.4053188,0.0001614452,0.0007795816,0.0003786258,0.0001375934,0.5173631,0.0004939255,0.001667329,0.00550393,0.06439918],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000754645,0.0002385235,0.03515862,0.00002600166,0.0001680345,0.0001057727,0.00007657691,0.9599788,0.0002600301,0.003520402,0.0003662377,0.00002550691],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9241399,0.001688322,0.06379592,0.003680597,0.0001775496,0.00007173347,0.00347817,0.0004289359,0.002538857],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9902039,0.0003682093,0.006568968,0.0001446813,0.0001628344,0.00002554265,0.00151408,0.00003247795,0.0009793962],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02021822,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04020107,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04539949890402817,"score_gpt":0.2584069138654425,"score_spread":0.2130074149614143,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}