{"id":"W3107624144","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-101345/v1","title":"Lombardy, Italy: COVID-19 second wave less severe than the first? A preliminary investigation","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"COVID-19 diagnosis using AI","field":"Medicine","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Surgical Specialties (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Geography; Medicine; Virology; Outbreak; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002650695,0.0005266952,0.0007929353,0.001844863,0.001612792,0.002971992,0.001364257,0.001659792,0.01000192],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01843516,0.0004093038,0.0006042643,0.00257562,0.001080066,0.001641935,0.001386212,0.002066432,0.00177336],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00137937,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002605002,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03834902,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02943471,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980816,0.000522134,0.0001172291,0.0002698734,0.0002781649,0.0007310673],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9945211,0.001599694,0.001287179,0.0004439037,0.001173871,0.0009742655],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001063436,0.00022407,0.9817917,0.00008709521,0.00005935799,0.0019564,0.0007798908,0.00003953253,0.0001553281,0.001409994,0.005041078,0.007391989],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000815396,0.0002926491,0.9859738,0.0002040664,0.0001057447,0.002870921,0.004467224,0.0002077048,0.00005949072,0.001082452,0.004637107,0.00001723291],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9539638,0.003341307,0.0004695487,0.01175735,0.0004692095,0.0002116994,0.003804294,0.00001146226,0.02597138],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9894052,0.001387073,0.0004239851,0.001611473,0.0007493738,0.000117599,0.003167263,0.00002375492,0.003114282],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03834902,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07625163,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2084948748100633,"score_gpt":0.4248216599868,"score_spread":0.2163267851767367,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}