{"id":"W3108166729","doi":"10.1002/pd.5870","title":"Right or wrong? Looking through the retrospectoscope to analyse predictions made a decade ago in prenatal diagnosis and fetal surgery","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Prenatal Diagnosis","topic":"Prenatal Screening and Diagnostics","field":"Medicine","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto; Mount Sinai Hospital","funders":"National Institute for Health and Care Research","keywords":"Medicine; Prenatal diagnosis; History; Law; Political science; Pregnancy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003298894,0.0005242153,0.0008709855,0.000260136,0.0003138214,0.0001872611,0.0003986857,0.0002604947,0.0005159432],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006410275,0.0003668799,0.0002801606,0.001653213,0.0002525669,0.0005629914,0.0006250895,0.0008082918,0.00008994377],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000191522,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001874472,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001498241,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0009833426,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9964174,0.0001757345,0.0008126101,0.00103107,0.0007260765,0.000837134],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9950296,0.003322039,0.0001807365,0.0006209599,0.00009949821,0.0007472191],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006700193,0.000442369,0.9628327,0.0003544101,0.0002864429,0.0009159404,0.00203022,0.0002747719,0.00003849457,0.0001320032,0.02582887,0.006193737],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003223861,0.001352035,0.9330694,0.003801613,0.001123989,0.0002615967,0.001045296,0.003115383,0.03600853,0.0002198613,0.01562103,0.001157418],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9670138,0.004806854,0.00115027,0.02258717,0.0004007583,0.001781333,0.0007627162,0.0003891914,0.001107938],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9895382,0.002684737,0.00176404,0.00375583,0.0005275817,0.001372188,0.0001841633,0.00008114856,0.00009210454],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03597003,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998783,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03456494826986258,"score_gpt":0.2895529062903076,"score_spread":0.254987958020445,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}