{"id":"W3115856677","doi":"10.3390/econometrics10040033","title":"Detecting and Quantifying Structural Breaks in Climate","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Econometrics","topic":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Brock University","funders":"","keywords":"Recession; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Precipitation; Climate change; Economics; Financial crisis; Econometrics; Natural resource economics; Macroeconomics; Geography; Meteorology; Geology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007058045,0.0005498205,0.000569317,0.003349134,0.0006558435,0.001579591,0.0006481172,0.001119757,0.001674003],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03257417,0.0003618009,0.0007334547,0.002580956,0.00111135,0.002405596,0.002681678,0.001674925,0.0001564921],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001385962,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008434075,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01118612,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01044038,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971634,0.001340163,0.0002238462,0.0005411652,0.0003428371,0.000388644],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9795598,0.01201568,0.005504572,0.001558226,0.0007427374,0.0006190012],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001461809,0.0001480412,0.7274942,0.00009433094,0.0006166971,0.0001310872,0.00077,0.1922942,0.002174081,0.01955424,0.0009087994,0.05566816],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002754655,0.0002385139,0.5146894,0.00006148075,0.0001036089,0.00006576494,0.001237895,0.4380023,0.001656956,0.04195306,0.001902612,0.00006083028],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.918286,0.0003428186,0.07674748,0.0006228428,0.00001906506,0.00007190722,0.001215529,0.0001429051,0.002551351],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9925388,0.00007327473,0.006709284,0.00002174993,0.00001436338,0.00002180663,0.0005162823,0.000008681865,0.00009584848],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01118612,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03732693,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02784498587275373,"score_gpt":0.2440450039329221,"score_spread":0.2162000180601684,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}