{"id":"W3116446895","doi":"10.3390/jrfm13120331","title":"Predictions of Crowdfunding Campaign Success: The Influence of First Impressions on Accuracy and Positivity","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of risk and financial management","topic":"FinTech, Crowdfunding, Digital Finance","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Popularity; Replication (statistics); Marketing; Public relations; Advertising; Psychology; Business; Computer science; Political science; Social psychology; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01539464,0.000554672,0.0005513739,0.001288027,0.0007321704,0.003154284,0.0005154413,0.0009905311,0.003651788],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1341417,0.0003084716,0.0006247677,0.0005308884,0.001382988,0.002194783,0.001396606,0.00129114,0.0006402712],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007819862,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004659804,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005060234,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003174208,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9944838,0.002889849,0.0003629281,0.0006165501,0.001244571,0.0004023981],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.7028223,0.232053,0.03965141,0.01102473,0.009783545,0.004665058],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001658795,0.0007032509,0.9512268,0.0001543173,0.0002285886,0.0001670616,0.00556975,0.004147359,0.0034295,0.001525799,0.001071445,0.03011745],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005113627,0.0008692095,0.9767486,0.00008418475,0.0001048942,0.0001019588,0.002542697,0.01298628,0.002903438,0.002777874,0.0007246098,0.0001052097],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9913759,0.0000787216,0.001467487,0.0001863833,0.00002402591,0.00006719168,0.0001419926,0.0000286016,0.006629758],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991652,0.00002603928,0.0003524905,0.000025843,0.00001553439,0.00003584628,0.00005468136,0.000005615548,0.0003188151],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01539464,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08141565,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009913326843058604,"score_gpt":0.2146123034516982,"score_spread":0.2046989766086396,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}